Turkish foreign policy

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  1. Turkish Foreign Policy

Introduction

Turkish foreign policy is the pursuit and execution of foreign relations by the Republic of Turkey. Historically, Turkish foreign policy has been characterized by a pragmatic approach, balancing regional ambitions with engagement with major global powers. In recent decades, particularly under the leadership of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Turkish foreign policy has become more assertive, complex, and at times, confrontational. This article provides an overview of the historical evolution, key principles, current priorities, major actors influencing policy, challenges, and future trends in Turkish foreign policy, aimed at providing a comprehensive understanding for beginners.

Historical Evolution

Turkey’s foreign policy trajectory has undergone significant shifts throughout its modern history.

  • __Early Republican Era (1923-1945):__* Following the dissolution of the Ottoman Empire and the establishment of the Republic of Turkey by Mustafa Kemal Atatürk, the initial focus was on modernization, nation-building, and establishing a secure national identity. Foreign policy prioritized non-interventionism, maintaining good relations with neighboring countries, and seeking security guarantees. The Treaty of Lausanne (1923) was a cornerstone, defining Turkey's modern borders and solidifying its sovereignty. Turkey adopted a Western orientation, but remained cautious of entanglement in European power struggles. The Montreux Convention Regarding the Regime of the Straits (1936) remains a crucial element of Turkish foreign policy, guaranteeing Turkish control over the Turkish Straits.
  • __Cold War Era (1945-1991):__* Driven by the perceived Soviet threat, Turkey aligned itself firmly with the Western bloc, joining NATO in 1952. This alliance became central to Turkish foreign policy, providing security guarantees and fostering close ties with the United States. The Korean War (1950-1953) saw Turkey actively participate alongside UN forces. However, tensions arose with Greece over Cyprus, leading to the Turkish invasion of Cyprus in 1974 and a prolonged period of strained relations. This period also saw the development of closer ties with Pakistan, forming a strategic alliance based on shared geopolitical interests. The Baghdad Pact (CENTO) was another attempt to contain Soviet influence.
  • __Post-Cold War Era (1991-2002):__* The collapse of the Soviet Union fundamentally altered the geopolitical landscape. Turkey initially sought to capitalize on new opportunities in Central Asia and the Caucasus, promoting regional cooperation and economic integration. However, the rise of Kurdish separatism, particularly the activities of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), became a major foreign policy challenge, leading to frequent cross-border operations in Northern Iraq. Relations with Greece improved somewhat, but the Cyprus issue continued to be a major point of contention. Turkey’s bid for full membership in the European Union became a central pillar of its foreign policy, driving domestic reforms and shaping its relations with Europe.
  • __The Erdoğan Era (2002-Present):__* The Justice and Development Party (AKP), led by Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, came to power in 2002, marking a significant turning point in Turkish foreign policy. Initially, there was a strong emphasis on strengthening ties with the EU and promoting a “zero problems with neighbors” policy. However, this approach gradually shifted towards a more assertive and independent foreign policy, often characterized by a willingness to challenge the status quo. This shift involved increased engagement in regional conflicts, such as the Syrian Civil War, and a more critical stance towards Western policies. A key element of this era is the concept of the "Blue Homeland" (Mavi Vatan), emphasizing Turkey’s maritime claims in the Eastern Mediterranean and Aegean Seas, leading to disputes with Greece and Cyprus. Atlantic Council analysis of Blue Homeland

Key Principles and Objectives

Several core principles underpin Turkish foreign policy:

  • __National Security:__* Protecting Turkey's territorial integrity, sovereignty, and political independence remains the paramount objective. This includes countering threats from terrorism, separatism, and external aggression. Security Threats facing Turkey - CFR
  • __Regional Stability:__* Turkey seeks to promote stability in its surrounding regions, believing that its own security is inextricably linked to the security of its neighbors. However, its definition of stability often differs from that of Western powers.
  • __Economic Interests:__* Promoting economic growth and securing access to vital resources are key objectives. This includes diversifying energy sources, expanding trade relations, and attracting foreign investment. Turkey - Trade.gov
  • __Protecting Turkish Citizens Abroad:__* Ensuring the safety and well-being of Turkish citizens living and traveling abroad is a priority.
  • __Asserting Turkey's Regional Influence:__* Turkey aims to be a leading regional power, playing a more prominent role in shaping events in the Middle East, the Eastern Mediterranean, and the Black Sea region. Turkey's Assertive Foreign Policy - Chatham House
  • __Multidimensional Foreign Policy:__* Turkey advocates for a “multidimensional” foreign policy, seeking to diversify its partnerships and avoid over-reliance on any single power. Turkey's Multidimensional Foreign Policy - MEI

Current Priorities

  • __Syria:__* Turkey's involvement in the Syrian Civil War has been complex and multifaceted. Turkey has supported certain rebel groups, conducted military operations against Kurdish groups in northern Syria (Operation Olive Branch, Operation Peace Spring), and established a buffer zone along the border. Turkey's Syria Policy - Al Jazeera
  • __Eastern Mediterranean:__* Disputes over maritime boundaries and energy resources in the Eastern Mediterranean have led to heightened tensions with Greece, Cyprus, and the European Union. Turkey’s assertive stance regarding its exclusive economic zone (EEZ) claims and its exploration activities in contested waters remain a major source of friction. Eastern Mediterranean & Turkey's Energy Strategy - Atlantic Council
  • __Relations with the European Union:__* Turkey’s accession process to the EU has stalled, with relations strained by concerns over human rights, the rule of law, and Turkey’s foreign policy actions. Turkey-EU Relations - Euractiv
  • __Relations with the United States:__* Relations with the US have been fraught with challenges, including disagreements over Syria, Turkey’s purchase of Russian S-400 missile defense systems, and US support for Kurdish groups in Syria. Turkey-US Relations - CFR
  • __Black Sea Security:__* Turkey plays a crucial role in ensuring security and stability in the Black Sea region, particularly following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. It has implemented the Montreux Convention to regulate naval traffic through the Turkish Straits. Turkey and the Montreux Convention - US DoD
  • __Economic Diplomacy:__* Turkey is actively seeking to diversify its economic partnerships and attract foreign investment, particularly in light of economic challenges. Turkey - World Bank

Major Actors Influencing Policy

  • __President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan:__* As the dominant political figure in Turkey for over two decades, Erdoğan has a profound influence on all aspects of Turkish foreign policy.
  • __Ministry of Foreign Affairs:__* The Ministry of Foreign Affairs is responsible for implementing and coordinating Turkish foreign policy.
  • __National Intelligence Organization (MIT):__* The MIT plays a crucial role in gathering intelligence and conducting covert operations abroad.
  • __Turkish Armed Forces:__* The military has significant influence, particularly in areas related to national security and defense.
  • __Parliamentary Foreign Affairs Committee:__* The committee provides oversight of Turkish foreign policy.
  • __Pro-Government Think Tanks:__* Organizations like SETA (Foundation for Political, Economic and Social Research) and TASAM (Turkish Asian Strategic Studies Center) contribute to shaping the public discourse and influencing policy decisions. SETA Foundation Website
  • __Business Groups:__* Key business organizations, such as the Turkish Industry and Business Association (TÜSİAD), advocate for policies that promote economic growth and trade.

Challenges and Risks

  • __Regional Conflicts:__* Turkey’s involvement in multiple regional conflicts, particularly in Syria and Libya, exposes it to significant risks.
  • __Strained Relations with Key Allies:__* Deteriorating relations with the US and EU pose challenges to Turkey’s security and economic interests.
  • __Economic Vulnerability:__* Turkey’s economic vulnerabilities, including high inflation and currency depreciation, constrain its foreign policy options. Turkey - IMF
  • __Domestic Political Polarization:__* Political polarization within Turkey can limit the scope for consensus on foreign policy issues.
  • __Human Rights Concerns:__* Concerns over human rights and democratic backsliding have damaged Turkey’s international reputation and strained its relations with Western countries.
  • __Geopolitical Competition:__* Increased geopolitical competition between major powers in Turkey’s neighborhood creates a complex and challenging environment.
  • __Maritime Disputes:__* Ongoing disputes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Aegean Sea pose a significant risk of escalation.

Future Trends

  • __Continued Assertiveness:__* Turkey is likely to continue pursuing a more assertive and independent foreign policy, challenging the status quo and seeking to expand its regional influence.
  • __Diversification of Partnerships:__* Turkey will likely continue to diversify its partnerships, seeking closer ties with countries in Asia, Africa, and Latin America.
  • __Focus on Economic Diplomacy:__* Economic diplomacy will become increasingly important as Turkey seeks to address its economic challenges and attract foreign investment.
  • __Increased Role in Regional Security:__* Turkey is likely to play an increasingly important role in regional security, particularly in the Black Sea and the Eastern Mediterranean.
  • __Navigating Great Power Competition:__* Turkey will need to carefully navigate the growing competition between major powers, such as the US, Russia, and China. Turkey's Strategic Balancing Act - Carnegie Endowment
  • __Emphasis on Defense Industry:__* Turkey will continue to invest in its domestic defense industry to reduce its reliance on foreign suppliers. Turkey as a Defense Exporter - Defense News
  • __Potential for De-escalation (or Escalation) in the Eastern Mediterranean:__* The Eastern Mediterranean remains a flashpoint. Dialogue and de-escalation are possible, but further escalation cannot be ruled out. Turkey-Greece & Eastern Mediterranean De-escalation - Atlantic Council

International relations Geopolitics Diplomacy Military history of Turkey Economy of Turkey Turkey-European Union relations Turkey-United States relations Turkey-Russia relations Montreux Convention Blue Homeland

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